Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Hibernian have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Hearts have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor Hearts slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hearts. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hibernian haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 80%.
- Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hearts, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Hearts have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hearts | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hearts scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Hibernian let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Hearts has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
