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Hearts vs Monaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hearts host Monaco in the Conference League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hearts have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Monaco's 1.86 scored and 1.41 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Monaco. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hearts
20%
Draws
51%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monaco come out ahead of Hearts on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hearts Clean Sheet 14%
Monaco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Monaco
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 35 / 100
Monaco 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Monaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Monaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Hearts has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Monaco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Monaco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
05 Nov
Thun
3 : 1
Hearts
01 Nov
Hearts
1 : 2
Hibernian
28 Oct
Hearts
2 : 2
Rangers
25 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Hearts
22 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Monaco

(Away)
05 Nov
Monaco
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
01 Nov
Paris FC
3 : 1
Monaco
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
18 Oct
Lorient
1 : 0
Monaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)