Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hearts vs Rangers

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Hearts Logo

Hearts

2 - 1
FT
Rangers Logo

Rangers

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sterling D.
37'
Shankland L.
46'
Sub
Chesnokov I. In: Spittal B.
Out: Chesnokov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hearts in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hearts
15%
Draws
47%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rangers haven't matched Hearts's recent run of results.
  • Hearts are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hearts Clean Sheet 17%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Rangers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Rangers vs Hearts
4:2
Dec 21, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premiership
Rangers vs Hearts
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Kingsley S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shankland L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sterling D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 36 / 100
Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rangers let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Hearts has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Rangers
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

Rangers

(Away)
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)