Sport Picks
Hearts vs St. Mirren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh 
AI Match Summary
Hearts host St. Mirren in the Premiership. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. St. Mirren have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Hearts have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Hearts have won 2 to St. Mirren's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.25 - 1.38) back Hearts to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hearts lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren.
- Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hearts | St. Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hearts found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: St. Mirren conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Hearts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hearts
(Home)St. Mirren
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | 5 |
