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Hearts W vs Hamilton W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 Oriam, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jardine K.
23' Event
Timms G.
26' Event
Timms G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hearts W in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hearts W
15%
Draws
40%
Hamilton W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts W have won more games recently than Hamilton W.
  • Model gives Hearts W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hearts W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Hearts W Clean Sheet 68%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts W Hamilton W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 3.4 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Hamilton W
8:1
Aug 31, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Hearts W
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Hamilton W
6:1
Aug 13, 2023 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Hearts W
0:4
Dec 4, 2022 SWPL 1 Women
Hearts W vs Hamilton W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts W Compare

Top Goalscorer Timms G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hutchison B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Hamilton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giard J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts W 95 / 100
Hamilton W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts W Hamilton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hamilton W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hearts W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts W VS Hamilton W
2 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts W

(Home)
23 Sept
Hearts W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
20 Sept
Spartans W
0 : 1
Hearts W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
30 Aug
Hearts W
0 : 3
Rangers W
23 Aug
Motherwell W
0 : 5
Hearts W
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton W

(Away)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glasgow City W 18 14 4 0 49:6 46
2 Rangers W 18 13 2 3 62:16 41
3 Celtic W 18 13 2 3 53:17 41
4 Hearts W 18 13 1 4 65:21 40
5 Hibernian W 18 10 4 4 47:15 34
6 Partick W 18 5 2 11 13:47 17
7 Montrose W 18 4 3 11 17:52 15
8 Motherwell W 18 3 2 13 15:45 11
9 Aberdeen W 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
10 Hamilton W 18 0 2 16 8:79 2
Promotion - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)