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Hebar 2 vs Kostinbrod Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2023/2024 game between Hebar 2 and Kostinbrod finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hebar 2
15%
Draws
64%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kostinbrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kostinbrod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar 2 Kostinbrod
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Kostinbrod
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Hebar 2
1:2
Feb 19, 2022 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Hebar 2
2:0
Aug 7, 2021 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Kostinbrod
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 2 10 / 100
Kostinbrod 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar 2 Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Hebar 2's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hebar 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kostinbrod
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar 2

(Home)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

Kostinbrod

(Away)
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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