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Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Pehlivanov Z.
3' Event
Dobrev K.
7' Event
Tilev I.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Hebar and Chernomorets 1919 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hebar
20%
Draws
80%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets 1919 come out ahead of Hebar on wins alone.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Hebar Clean Sheet 68%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Hebar
1:1
May 7, 2006 B PFG West
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
0:2
Oct 22, 2005 B PFG West
Chernomorets 1919 vs Hebar
1:0
Apr 14, 2001 efbet League
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhelyazkov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 41 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hebar scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets 1919 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Chernomorets 1919 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Chernomorets 1919
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
11 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 3
Hebar
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3
Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
24 Jun
Hebar
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
09 Aug
Vihren
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
01 Aug
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Beroe
25 Jul
Gorna
1 : 1
Chernomorets 1919
11 Jul
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 3
Etar
01 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)