Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebar vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Sadetinov D. In: Gergisharov T.
Out: Sadetinov D.
36' Event
Mihaylov I.
39'
Mihaylov I.

AI Match Summary

Hebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hebar
30%
Draws
23%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Hebar.
  • Model gives Hebar a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hebar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hebar Clean Sheet 10%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Etar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Etar
4:1
May 10, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Hebar
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Etar
2:0
May 25, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Etar
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Etar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihaylov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gergisharov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivaylov Ch.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 83 / 100
Etar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Etar let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hebar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Etar
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
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Etar

(Away)
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)