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Hebar vs Fratria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Rumenov R. In: Korablin T.
Out: Rumenov R.
46'
Sub
Atanasov G. In: Kandoussi B.
Out: Atanasov G.
50'
Sub
Angelov D. In: Marinov M.
Out: Angelov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hebar
15%
Draws
28%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Hebar.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fratria have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Hebar Clean Sheet 68%
Fratria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Fratria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Fratria
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Hebar
3:2
Aug 5, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Fratria
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonkov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kandoussi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 95 / 100
Fratria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hebar scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Fratria let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Hebar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Fratria
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
29 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Hebar
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
17 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 4
Hebar
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Fratria

(Away)
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Botev Vratsa
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)