Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebar vs Fratria

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Rumenov R. In: Korablin T.
Out: Rumenov R.
46'
Sub
Atanasov G. In: Kandoussi B.
Out: Atanasov G.
50'
Sub
Angelov D. In: Marinov M.
Out: Angelov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hebar
35%
Draws
34%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria have won more games recently than Hebar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fratria have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Hebar Clean Sheet 14%
Fratria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Fratria
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 14
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Fratria
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Hebar
3:2
Aug 5, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Fratria
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonkov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kandoussi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 31 / 100
Fratria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hebar scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Fratria let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Hebar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Fratria
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
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Fratria

(Away)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)