Sport Picks

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Hebar vs Levski Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Serafimov N.
29' Event
Petkov M.
61' Event
Bouras A.

AI Match Summary

Levski Sofia in this Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hebar
30%
Draws
33%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levski Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Hebar.
  • Win probability leans Hebar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Levski Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Levski Sofia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levski Sofia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hebar Clean Sheet 68%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Levski Sofia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Hebar vs Levski Sofia
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 efbet League
Hebar vs Levski Sofia
1:4
Oct 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Levski Sofia vs Hebar
4:0
Aug 23, 2024 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Hebar
1:0
Mar 4, 2024 efbet League
Hebar vs Levski Sofia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Serafimov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 95 / 100
Levski Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hebar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Levski Sofia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
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Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2