Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebar vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Veshev S.
46'
Sub
Kamenov S. In: Angelov Y.
Out: Kamenov S.
46'
Sub
Sandev R. In: Vakadinov B.
Out: Sandev R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hebar
30%
Draws
33%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hebar haven't matched Marek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hebar a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hebar Clean Sheet 68%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Marek
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Marek
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Hebar
2:0
May 14, 2022 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Marek
3:0
Nov 19, 2021 Vtora liga
Marek vs Hebar
2:0
Apr 20, 2019 Third League - South-West
Hebar vs Marek
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavorski T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Veshev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 95 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hebar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Marek conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Marek
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)