Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025

HEBC Hamburg

3 - 1

Hamburger III

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Schmidt R.

61'

Verago L.

90'

Ajkic S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between HEBC Hamburg and Hamburger III finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HEBC Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

HEBC Hamburg

Draws

Hamburger III

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

HEBC Hamburg carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives HEBC Hamburg a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors HEBC Hamburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 13%

Hamburger III Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HEBC Hamburg	Hamburger III
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	3
Draws	7	2
Losses	13	25
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	2.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamburger III vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Hamburger III

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Jan 22, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg

HEBC Hamburg vs Hamburger III

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Oct 25, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamburger III vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

Feb 4, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamburger III vs HEBC Hamburg

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HEBC Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Verago L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Schmidt R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hamburger III Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajkic S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 84 / 100

Hamburger III 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HEBC Hamburg Hamburger III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger III let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Hamburger III has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

HEBC Hamburg scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

HEBC Hamburg VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

2.38 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Altona	34	25	7	2	99:30	82
2	Dassendorf	34	26	4	4	98:32	82
3	Eimsbutteler	34	22	4	8	96:48	70
4	Paloma	34	22	4	8	84:54	70
5	ETSV Hamburg	34	20	3	11	96:50	63
6	Niendorfer TSV	34	18	7	9	78:44	61
7	HEBC Hamburg	34	16	5	13	56:45	53
8	Vorwarts-Wacker	34	15	5	14	86:97	50
9	TSV Buchholz 08	34	14	4	16	70:76	46
10	Suderelbe	34	13	5	16	70:83	44
11	SC Victoria Hamburg	34	12	5	17	69:73	41
12	Sasel	34	11	7	16	60:73	40
13	Turkiye Wilhelmsburg	34	10	6	18	73:94	36
14	Harksheide	34	9	8	17	63:89	35
15	Halstenbek-Rellingen	34	10	5	19	53:83	35
16	TSV Concordia	34	8	5	21	47:88	29
17	Alsterbruder	34	7	4	23	37:90	25
18	Hamburger III	34	3	2	29	45:131	11