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HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HEBC Hamburg host Sasel in the Oberliga Hamburg. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. HEBC Hamburg have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.73 conceded recently, against Sasel's 2.23 scored and 2.43 conceded. Head-to-head, HEBC Hamburg have won 1 to Sasel's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.81) back Sasel to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
HEBC Hamburg
20%
Draws
20%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • HEBC Hamburg haven't matched Sasel's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HEBC Hamburg a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 11%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HEBC Hamburg Sasel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.47 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs HEBC Hamburg
4:4
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs HEBC Hamburg
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 65 / 100
Sasel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HEBC Hamburg Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sasel conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

HEBC Hamburg scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sasel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HEBC Hamburg VS Sasel
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HEBC Hamburg

(Home)
11 Oct
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 3
Suderelbe
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
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Sasel

(Away)
10 Oct
Sasel
1 : 1
Pinneberg
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
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