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Stadium Background

HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
HEBC Hamburg
15%
Draws
12%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sasel have won more games recently than HEBC Hamburg.
  • HEBC Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HEBC Hamburg Sasel
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.41 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs HEBC Hamburg
4:4
Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs HEBC Hamburg
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Sasel
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 38 / 100
Sasel 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HEBC Hamburg Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

HEBC Hamburg's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sasel lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HEBC Hamburg VS Sasel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HEBC Hamburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
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Sasel

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Victoria Hamburg
2 : 2
Sasel
27 Sept
Sasel
0 : 1
Vorwarts-Wacker
20 Sept
HT 16
2 : 0
Sasel
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
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