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HEBC Hamburg vs Suderelbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HEBC Hamburg host Suderelbe in the Oberliga Hamburg. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Suderelbe have shipped 1.74 goals a game lately, while HEBC Hamburg have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, HEBC Hamburg have won 1 to Suderelbe's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.81) back Suderelbe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
HEBC Hamburg
20%
Draws
36%
Suderelbe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suderelbe come out ahead of HEBC Hamburg on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 11%
Suderelbe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HEBC Hamburg Suderelbe
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs HEBC Hamburg
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Suderelbe
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Suderelbe
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs HEBC Hamburg
2:3
Nov 26, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Suderelbe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HEBC Hamburg 29 / 100
Suderelbe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HEBC Hamburg Suderelbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HEBC Hamburg found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Suderelbe has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

HEBC Hamburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HEBC Hamburg VS Suderelbe
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HEBC Hamburg

(Home)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
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Suderelbe

(Away)
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 1
SC Victoria Hamburg
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
11 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 0
HT 16
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0
Suderelbe
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