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Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands

England England

NPL Premier Division
Mon, May 4, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Smith C.
90' Event
Williams G.
1' Event
Hardcastle B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Hednesford and Warrington Rylands finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hednesford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hednesford
6%
Draws
4%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hednesford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hednesford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 68%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Hednesford
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 95 / 100
Warrington Rylands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford Warrington Rylands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hednesford's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Hednesford remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Warrington Rylands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS Warrington Rylands
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hednesford2
Stockton0
United of Manchester2
Warrington Rylands3
Final
Hednesford2
Warrington Rylands1