Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Mon, May 4, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Smith C.
90' Event
Williams G.
1' Event
Hardcastle B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Hednesford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hednesford
20%
Draws
57%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hednesford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Warrington Rylands taking it.
  • Hednesford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hednesford, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 16%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Warrington Rylands
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Hednesford
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 28 / 100
Warrington Rylands 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford Warrington Rylands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hednesford scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Warrington Rylands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hednesford stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS Warrington Rylands
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hednesford

(Home)
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Rylands

(Away)
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hednesford 2
Stockton 0
United of Manchester 2
Warrington Rylands 3
Final
Hednesford 2
Warrington Rylands 1