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Heegan vs EL Merriekh Bentiu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Doh T.
58' Event
Majak K.
90' Event
Attor K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Heegan
15%
Draws
34%
EL Merriekh Bentiu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Heegan have won more games recently than EL Merriekh Bentiu.
  • Heegan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Heegan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EL Merriekh Bentiu, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Heegan Clean Sheet 20%
EL Merriekh Bentiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan EL Merriekh Bentiu
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.27 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Champions League
Heegan vs EL Merriekh Bentiu
0:3
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Champions League
EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Heegan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heegan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

EL Merriekh Bentiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Doh T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 76 / 100
EL Merriekh Bentiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan EL Merriekh Bentiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heegan scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Heegan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: EL Merriekh Bentiu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS EL Merriekh Bentiu
2.75 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 6

EL Merriekh Bentiu

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
28 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
EL Merriekh Bentiu
20 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
0 : 2
Azam
25 Aug
Mahia
5 : 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -