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Heegan vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

2 - 1
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Heegan and Elman finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Heegan
15%
Draws
34%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Elman haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Heegan taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Heegan Clean Sheet 20%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Elman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.27 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Elman
2:1
May 17, 2026 National league
Elman vs Heegan
0:2
Apr 7, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Elman
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 National league
Elman vs Heegan
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 National league
Elman vs Heegan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 42 / 100
Elman 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heegan scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Elman let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Heegan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Elman
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
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Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)