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Stadium Background

Heegan vs Raadsan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Heegan
20%
Draws
23%
Raadsan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heegan lately — more wins on the board than Raadsan.
  • Model gives Heegan a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Heegan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Heegan Clean Sheet 13%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Raadsan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 2.34 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Heegan
0:4
May 3, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Raadsan
2:1
Feb 18, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Raadsan
8:0
Dec 6, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Heegan
1:5
Jul 27, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Heegan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 84 / 100
Raadsan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Raadsan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heegan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Raadsan conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Solid form: Heegan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Raadsan
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
Page 1 of 6

Raadsan

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)