Sport Picks
Heerenveen vs Heracles
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen 
Match Events
12'
12'
Rivera M.
21'
21'
Engels M.
35'
35'
Trenskow J.
Assist: van Overeem J.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Heerenveen and Heracles finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Heracles on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heerenveen | Heracles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Heracles
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Heerenveen
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Heracles
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Heerenveen
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Heerenveen
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heerenveen Compare
Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rivera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Heracles Compare
Top Goalscorer Engels M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heerenveen 10 / 100
Heracles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heerenveen Heracles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Heracles let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Heerenveen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heerenveen VS Heracles
1.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Heerenveen
(Home) 19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
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13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
09 Aug
Heerenveen
1 : 0 Twente
01 Aug
Heerenveen
3 : 2 Volos
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Heracles
(Away) 18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
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18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4 Heracles
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0 Heracles
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
