Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Abe Lenstra Stadion

Match Events

Linday M.

40'

Trenskow J.

70'

Sub

Santos A. In: Terho C.

Out: Santos A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heerenveen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sparta Rotterdam have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Heerenveen have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Heerenveen have won 3 to Sparta Rotterdam's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.81) back Heerenveen to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Heerenveen

39%

Draws

30%

Sparta Rotterdam

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Heerenveen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sparta Rotterdam.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Eredivisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Heerenveen Clean Sheet 11%

Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Heerenveen	Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Dec 14, 2025 Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Apr 12, 2025 Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Oct 26, 2024 Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

May 19, 2024 Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brouwers L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 30 / 100

Sparta Rotterdam 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Sparta Rotterdam let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Rotterdam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Sparta Rotterdam

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101:45	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	65
3	Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	43
11	Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	39
12	G.A. Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	37
15	Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	19