Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heerenveen vs Telstar

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Sub
Kersten S. In: Petrov H.
Out: Kersten S.
61'
Sub
Smans L. In: Uldrikis R.
Out: Smans L.
61'
Sub
Rivera M. In: Oyen L.
Out: Rivera M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Heerenveen and Telstar finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Heerenveen
35%
Draws
19%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Telstar on wins alone.
  • Heerenveen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 14%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen Telstar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Telstar
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Telstar
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Heerenveen
2:3
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Heerenveen vs Telstar
1:1
Jan 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Telstar vs Heerenveen
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 57 / 100
Telstar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Heerenveen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Telstar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Telstar

(Away)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 7 6 1 0 18:6 19
2 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
3 PSV 7 5 1 1 24:10 16
4 Twente 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 7 2 4 1 16:14 10
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)