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Heerenveen vs Zwolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Heerenveen Logo

Heerenveen

0 - 2
FT
Zwolle Logo

Zwolle

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Thomas R.
50' Event
Viergever N.
Assist: Mbayo D.
56'
Kostons K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zwolle in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zwolle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Heerenveen
30%
Draws
31%
Zwolle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heerenveen lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Heerenveen taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen Zwolle
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
2:1
Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Heerenveen vs Zwolle
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Heerenveen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Zwolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Viergever N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostons K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 85 / 100
Zwolle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen Zwolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zwolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Heerenveen scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Heerenveen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Zwolle
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

Zwolle

(Away)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3
Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 27:7 20
2 PSV 8 6 1 1 26:10 19
3 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
5 Ajax 8 4 3 1 22:10 15
6 Sittard 8 4 2 2 14:15 14
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 8 2 5 1 19:17 11
10 Heerenveen 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Nijmegen 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
12 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 13:20 6
13 Telstar 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)