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Heerenveen W vs Feyenoord W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Skoatterwald
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heerenveen W play Feyenoord W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Feyenoord W are favorites here. Recently, Heerenveen W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. Feyenoord W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Heerenveen W won 1, Feyenoord W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Heerenveen W and 1.50 for Feyenoord W. This points to a Feyenoord W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Heerenveen W
15%
Draws
59%
Feyenoord W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Heerenveen W picked up more points recently compared to Feyenoord W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 16%
Feyenoord W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen W Feyenoord W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Feyenoord W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs Heerenveen W
6:1
Mar 14, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Heerenveen W vs Feyenoord W
0:3
Jan 19, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs Heerenveen W
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs Feyenoord W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maatman E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Haas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Feyenoord W Compare

Top Goalscorer Itamura M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen W 27 / 100
Feyenoord W 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen W Feyenoord W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Feyenoord W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Heerenveen W attacking → ← attacking Feyenoord W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Feyenoord W let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Heerenveen W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Feyenoord W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 53
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717