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Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs BFA Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 host BFA Vilnius in the I Lyga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. BFA Vilnius have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Hegelmann Litauen 2 have conceded 2.31 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor BFA Vilnius slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.81) back BFA Vilnius to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
20%
Draws
40%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 11%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2
May 13, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 / 100
BFA Vilnius 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

BFA Vilnius lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS BFA Vilnius
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
25 Oct
FK Babrungas
4 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
16 Oct
Hegelmann Litauen 2
4 : 4
Tauras Taurage
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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BFA Vilnius

(Away)
24 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 28 22 4 2 52:13 70
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 27 18 3 6 50:27 57
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
6 Neptunas 28 14 2 12 33:35 44
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Tauras Taurage 27 13 5 9 48:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
12 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 28 9 1 18 27:45 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 28 5 3 20 29:62 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)