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Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Morarenko S.

AI Match Summary

Dainava Alytus in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dainava Alytus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
20%
Draws
36%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Dainava Alytus have won more games recently than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Dainava Alytus
0:1
May 15, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Morarenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 / 100
Dainava Alytus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Dainava Alytus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hegelmann Litauen 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Dainava Alytus has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Hegelmann Litauen 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Dainava Alytus
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

Dainava Alytus

(Away)
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)