Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Minija

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 host FK Minija in the I Lyga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Hegelmann Litauen 2 at 1 goals for, 2.5 against; FK Minija at 1.88 for, 0.63 against. Past meetings favor FK Minija slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.19) point toward FK Minija. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
11%
Draws
80%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Minija have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Minija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:0
Sep 19, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:0
May 18, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Minija
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Minija
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
FK Minija 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Minija conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Hegelmann Litauen 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS FK Minija
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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FK Minija

(Away)
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1
Jonava
26 Jun
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Minija
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
FK Minija
13 Jun
FK Minija
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Babrungas17143030:445
2FK Minija16141141:1043
3Tauras Taurage17111534:1934
4Neptunas17102524:2032
5BE1 NFA16102429:1832
6BFA Vilnius1791725:2628
7Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
8FK Atmosfera1673627:1824
9Garliava1664622:1522
10Zalgiris 21663723:2521
11Jonava1755720:2220
12Transinvest 21643915:3815
13Hegelmann Litauen 217411217:3813
14Ekranas17211416:357
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21721149:307
16Siauliai 217141215:407
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)