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Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Tauras Taurage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 host Tauras Taurage in the I Lyga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hegelmann Litauen 2 have averaged 0.96 scored and 2.29 conceded recently, against Tauras Taurage's 1.65 scored and 1.16 conceded. Head-to-head, Hegelmann Litauen 2 have won 1 to Tauras Taurage's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.38 - 2.13) back Tauras Taurage to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
20%
Draws
36%
Tauras Taurage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tauras Taurage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hegelmann Litauen 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Tauras Taurage
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
6:1
Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:0
Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Tauras Taurage
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Tauras Taurage
3:3
Mar 23, 2024 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 34 / 100
Tauras Taurage 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Tauras Taurage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tauras Taurage has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Tauras Taurage
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

Tauras Taurage

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)