Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 host Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Hegelmann Litauen 2 at 1.13 goals for, 2.25 against; Zalgiris 2 at 1.13 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Zalgiris 2 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.69, favoring Zalgiris 2. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
20%
Draws
38%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Hegelmann Litauen 2 and Zalgiris 2 close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris 2 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
May 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 40 / 100
Zalgiris 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Zalgiris 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
12 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
30 May
Tauras Taurage
6 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
26 Jun
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Zalgiris 2
21 Jun
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2
Jonava
13 Jun
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Garliava
30 May
FK Atmosfera
2 : 0
Zalgiris 2
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1591520:1728
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)