Sport Picks
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2 Prediction & H2H Stats
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
23'
23'
Bicka K.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Bicka K.
74'
74'
Berenta V.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Hegelmann Litauen 2 and Zalgiris 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zalgiris 2 come out ahead of Hegelmann Litauen 2 on wins alone.
- Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Zalgiris 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | Zalgiris 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
0:2
Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
May 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Zalgiris 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bicka K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berenta V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Zalgiris 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Hegelmann Litauen 2's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Hegelmann Litauen 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Zalgiris 2
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hegelmann Litauen 2
(Home) 18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1 Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2 Ekranas
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1 Siauliai 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2 Ekranas
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 3 Garliava
31 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 4 FK Minija
Page 1 of 3
Zalgiris 2
(Away) 20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3 Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4 Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1 Zalgiris 2
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2 Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 63:13 | 64 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:23 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 29:27 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 23:38 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
