Sport Picks
Heidelberg Utd vs Melbourne City U21 Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne 
Match Events
5'
5'
Baker B.
44'
44'
McGowan J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between Heidelberg Utd and Melbourne City U21 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heidelberg Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Heidelberg Utd come out ahead of Melbourne City U21 on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Heidelberg Utd taking it.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 19%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidelberg Utd | Melbourne City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs Heidelberg Utd
2:2
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Melbourne City U21
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heidelberg Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer McGowan J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Melbourne City U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidelberg Utd 85 / 100
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidelberg Utd Melbourne City U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heidelberg Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Heidelberg Utd scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Melbourne City U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Melbourne City U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Heidelberg Utd VS Melbourne City U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidelberg Utd
(Home) 06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5 Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0 Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5 Hume City
24 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 0 George Cross
03 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
1 : 1 St Albans
26 Jun
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 1 Oakleigh Cannons
Page 1 of 3
Melbourne City U21
(Away) 29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2 Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6 Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0 Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3 South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0 Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0 Melbourne City U21
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0 Melbourne City U21
18 Jul
George Cross
1 : 0 Melbourne City U21
04 Jul
Altona Magic
0 : 3 Melbourne City U21
26 Jun
St Albans
0 : 2 Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 56:24 | 54 |
| 2 | Hume City | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:36 | 49 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 65:34 | 47 |
| 4 | South Melbourne | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 42:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 39 |
| 7 | George Cross | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 35:34 | 38 |
| 8 | St Albans | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Melbourne City U21 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:42 | 28 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:51 | 24 |
| 13 | Green Gully | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:52 | 18 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:65 | 15 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
