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Heidenauer vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014
Heidenauer Logo

Heidenauer

3 - 7
FT
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bautzen in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Heidenauer
15%
Draws
85%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Heidenauer haven't matched Bautzen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Heidenauer's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bautzen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Heidenauer Clean Sheet 14%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenauer Bautzen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Bautzen
3:7
Dec 6, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heidenauer
1:0
May 19, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heidenauer
2:0
Nov 17, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Bautzen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenauer 75 / 100
Bautzen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenauer Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heidenauer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bautzen has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Bautzen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Heidenauer found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenauer

(Home)
08 Jun
Heidenauer
3 : 7
Bautzen
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
24 May
Heidenauer
1 : 3
Schott Jena
18 May
Dresden II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
10 May
Heidenauer
2 : 4
Piesteritz
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bautzen 30 23 4 3 72:22 73
2 Markranstadt 30 21 4 5 54:21 67
3 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 18 3 8 70:41 57
4 Halle 30 16 3 11 55:35 51
5 Aue II 29 15 2 12 48:54 47
6 Chemnitzer II 30 13 6 11 61:44 45
7 Cottbus II 30 14 3 13 49:52 45
8 Sandersdorf 30 14 3 13 43:51 45
9 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 41:41 41
10 Jena II 30 11 6 13 54:48 39
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 3 15 40:50 39
12 Schott Jena 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
13 Erfurt II 30 9 6 15 49:63 33
14 Hallescher II 30 9 4 17 39:55 31
15 Piesteritz 30 6 6 18 40:66 24
16 Heidenauer 30 2 4 24 27:94 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2014/2015 (Main)