Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heidenheim vs Dresden

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heidenheim host Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dresden have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Heidenheim have conceded 1.93 and scored 2.21. Head-to-head, Heidenheim have won 2 to Dresden's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2022, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.50 - 2.44) back Dresden to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Heidenheim
15%
Draws
51%
Dresden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenheim Dresden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.21 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Heidenheim
0:1
Feb 18, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Heidenheim
1:1
Sep 12, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Dresden
2:1
Feb 2, 2020 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Dresden
0:0
Aug 18, 2019 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Heidenheim
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenheim 30 / 100
Dresden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenheim Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dresden conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Heidenheim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heidenheim VS Dresden
4.13 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenheim

(Home)
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4
Bayern Munich
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1
Heidenheim
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3
Hamburger
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Dresden

(Away)
16 Aug
Dresden
1 : 0
Darmstadt
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0
Dresden
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1
Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2
Energie Cottbus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Hertha Berlin 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Karlsruher 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Wolfsburg 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Braunschweig 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Arminia Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
7 Bochum 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Energie Cottbus 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
9 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
10 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
11 Dresden 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
12 Holstein Kiel 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
13 St. Pauli 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
14 Kaiserslautern 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
15 Darmstadt 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Greuther Furth 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
17 Hannover 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 VfL Osnabruck 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)