Sport Picks
Heidenheim vs Dresden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Voith-Arena, Heidenheim 
Match Events
26'
26'
Keller T.
30'
30'
Vermeij V.
Assist: Sterner J.
46'
46'
Kerber L.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga game between Heidenheim and Dresden finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heidenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dresden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Dresden carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Heidenheim's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 20%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidenheim | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Dresden
5:3
Jun 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Heidenheim
0:1
Feb 18, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Heidenheim
1:1
Sep 12, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Dresden
2:1
Feb 2, 2020 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Dresden
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heidenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Schoppner J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mhamdi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Dresden Compare
Top Goalscorer Vermeij V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wagner R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidenheim 36 / 100
Dresden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidenheim Dresden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dresden conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Heidenheim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heidenheim VS Dresden
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidenheim
(Home) 31 Oct
Karlsruher
2 : 1 Heidenheim
24 Oct
Heidenheim
1 : 1 Energie Cottbus
17 Oct
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Heidenheim
09 Oct
Heidenheim
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
02 Oct
Heidenheim
3 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Heidenheim
1 : 1 Energie Cottbus
09 Oct
Heidenheim
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
02 Oct
Heidenheim
3 : 1 Wurzburger Kickers
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
Dresden
(Away) 01 Nov
Hannover
2 : 1 Dresden
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Schalke
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 Dresden
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Magdeburg
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1 Dresden
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Hannover
2 : 1 Dresden
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 Dresden
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1 Dresden
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0 Dresden
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabruck | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
