Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heidenheim vs Hamburger

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Elfadli D.
45' Event
Konigsdorffer R.
Assist: Otele P.
46'
Sub
Traore O. H. In: Conteh S.
Out: Traore O. H.

AI Match Summary

Hamburger in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Heidenheim
6%
Draws
4%
Hamburger
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Heidenheim average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Hamburger's 1.38.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hamburger here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 68%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenheim Hamburger
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:2
Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Heidenheim
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
3:3
Aug 6, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Heidenheim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidenheim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hamburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Konigsdorffer R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philippe R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenheim 95 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenheim Hamburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamburger conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Heidenheim stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heidenheim VS Hamburger
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenheim

(Home)
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9
Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12
Heidenheim
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1
Lugano
04 Jul
Altach
1 : 2
Heidenheim
16 May
Heidenheim
0 : 2
Mainz
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Hamburger

(Away)
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2
Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2
Freiburg
02 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2
Hamburger
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)