Sport Picks
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
Germany
DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim 
Match Events
29'
29'
Schmidt F.
35'
35'
Niehues J.
44'
44'
Siersleben T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Hamburger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamburger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hamburger have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Heidenheim are scoring more at 2.34.
- Win probability leans Hamburger's way, sitting at 50%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Hamburger, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Hamburger here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 16%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidenheim | Hamburger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
1:3
Feb 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:2
Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Heidenheim
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidenheim 23 / 100
Hamburger 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidenheim Hamburger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamburger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamburger let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Heidenheim's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Heidenheim remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Heidenheim VS Hamburger
4.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidenheim
(Home) 29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
23 Aug
Jeddeloh
5 : 2 Heidenheim
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1 Heidenheim
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
Page 1 of 3
Hamburger
(Away) 29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2 Everton
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2 Hamburger
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0
