Sport Picks
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim 
Match Events
26'
26'
Prass A.
Assist: Asllani F.
45'
45'
Prass A.
Assist: Kramaric A.
46'
46'
Sub
Honsak M. In: Conteh C.
Out: Honsak M.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Heidenheim and Hoffenheim finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hoffenheim come out ahead of Heidenheim on wins alone.
- Model gives Hoffenheim a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 18%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidenheim | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.46 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim
2:4
Oct 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim
0:0
Jan 27, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heidenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Kerber L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.23
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Prass A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Asllani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidenheim 15 / 100
Hoffenheim 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidenheim Hoffenheim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Heidenheim scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Hoffenheim conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Heidenheim went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heidenheim VS Hoffenheim
3.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidenheim
(Home) 18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1 Heidenheim
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3 Hamburger
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1 Lugano
Page 1 of 3
Hoffenheim
(Away) 16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Tottenham
3 : 0 Hoffenheim
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Tottenham
3 : 0 Hoffenheim
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3 Hoffenheim
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
