Sport Picks
Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
2. Bundesliga Voith-Arena, Heidenheim 
Match Events
38'
38'
Therkelsen J.
46'
46'
Sub
Honsak M. In: Kaufmann M.
Out: Honsak M.
46'
46'
Sub
Mhamdi O. In: Conteh C.
Out: Mhamdi O.
AI Match Summary
Heidenheim in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heidenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heidenheim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Heidenheim have won more games recently than Holstein Kiel.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Heidenheim taking it.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 11%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heidenheim | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Heidenheim
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Heidenheim
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heidenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Fohrenbach J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Holstein Kiel Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heidenheim 40 / 100
Holstein Kiel 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heidenheim Holstein Kiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Holstein Kiel let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Heidenheim's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Heidenheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heidenheim VS Holstein Kiel
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Heidenheim
(Home) 25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 Heidenheim
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1 Heidenheim
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3 Dresden
18 Aug
Heidenheim
2 : 4 Bayern Munich
08 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 3 VfL Osnabruck
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1 Ingolstadt
Page 1 of 3
Holstein Kiel
(Away) 19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0 Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0 Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2 Holstein Kiel
08 Aug
Darmstadt
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 8 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 17 | Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
