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Heider SV vs PSV Neumunster

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 game between Heider SV and PSV Neumunster finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heider SV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Heider SV
35%
Draws
20%
PSV Neumunster
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heider SV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heider SV come out ahead of PSV Neumunster on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Heider SV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Heider SV have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Heider SV Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Neumunster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heider SV PSV Neumunster
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
PSV Neumunster vs Heider SV
2:4
Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs PSV Neumunster
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
PSV Neumunster vs Heider SV
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs PSV Neumunster
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
PSV Neumunster vs Heider SV
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heider SV 83 / 100
PSV Neumunster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heider SV PSV Neumunster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heider SV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heider SV scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: PSV Neumunster conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Heider SV went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heider SV VS PSV Neumunster
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heider SV

(Home)
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
05 Sept
Heider SV
1 : 1
Rotenhof
30 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 2
Heider SV
22 Aug
Heider SV
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
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PSV Neumunster

(Away)
19 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
3 : 3
PSV Neumunster
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
06 Sept
Eichede
0 : 0
PSV Neumunster
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4
Kilia Kiel
23 Aug
Oldenburger SV
1 : 4
PSV Neumunster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)