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Heiligenstadt vs Bautzen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Heiligenstadt Logo

Heiligenstadt

2 - 3
FT
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bautzen in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bautzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Heiligenstadt
35%
Draws
39%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bautzen have won more games recently than Heiligenstadt.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Heiligenstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heiligenstadt Bautzen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heiligenstadt vs Bautzen
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Heiligenstadt
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heiligenstadt 30 / 100
Bautzen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heiligenstadt Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Heiligenstadt's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Heiligenstadt remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heiligenstadt VS Bautzen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.17 Goals Conceded 3.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Heiligenstadt

(Home)
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Halle
2 : 2
Heiligenstadt
10 May
Glauchau
1 : 0
Heiligenstadt
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
26 Apr
Stendal
2 : 0
Heiligenstadt
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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