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Heimstetten vs Pipinsried - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heimstetten host Pipinsried in the Oberliga Bayern Süd. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pipinsried have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Heimstetten have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Pipinsried slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.38, favoring Pipinsried. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Heimstetten
35%
Draws
37%
Pipinsried
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pipinsried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Pipinsried carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 10%
Pipinsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten Pipinsried
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs Heimstetten
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Pipinsried
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs Heimstetten
2:4
Apr 21, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs Heimstetten
6:1
Sep 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Pipinsried
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 29 / 100
Pipinsried 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten Pipinsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Pipinsried's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Heimstetten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS Pipinsried
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
24 Oct
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 1
Heimstetten
17 Oct
Heimstetten
1 : 1
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
10 Oct
Ismaning
3 : 2
Heimstetten
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
26 Sept
Kirchanschoring
0 : 4
Heimstetten
Page 1 of 6

Pipinsried

(Away)
23 Oct
Munich 1860 II
2 : 0
Pipinsried
17 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 2
Kottern-St. Mang
09 Oct
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
0 : 3
Pipinsried
03 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 1
Ismaning
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 16 10 3 3 42:21 33
2 SV Erlbach 16 9 5 2 23:10 32
3 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 16 10 1 5 36:25 31
4 Pfaffenhofen 16 8 5 3 29:25 29
5 Landshut 16 8 4 4 30:19 28
6 Hankofen-Hailing 16 8 4 4 27:19 28
7 FC Schwaig 16 6 9 1 35:19 27
8 Ismaning 16 7 2 7 32:24 23
9 Munich 1860 II 16 5 6 5 33:30 21
10 TSV Schwabmunchen 16 5 4 7 31:32 19
11 Heimstetten 16 4 7 5 27:29 19
12 Kottern-St. Mang 16 4 6 6 15:21 18
13 Gundelfingen 16 4 5 7 22:25 17
14 Deisenhofen 16 4 4 8 21:37 16
15 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 16 3 6 7 20:29 15
16 Kirchanschoring 16 4 3 9 20:33 15
17 Geretsried 16 3 2 11 16:34 11
18 Schalding 16 2 4 10 19:46 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)