Sport Picks

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Heist vs Chatelet

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Amateur Division 2018/2019 game between Heist and Chatelet finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Heist
20%
Draws
29%
Chatelet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Heist carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Heist are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular First Amateur Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Heist Clean Sheet 20%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist Chatelet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.68 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 National Division 1
Heist vs Chatelet
2:0
Nov 3, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Heist
2:0
Apr 28, 2018 National Division 1
Heist vs Chatelet
0:1
Nov 26, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Heist
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 49 / 100
Chatelet 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist Chatelet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heist found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Chatelet has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Heist stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heist

(Home)
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
Knokke
3 : 0
Heist
01 Aug
Lierse SK
1 : 2
Heist
22 Jul
Heist
0 : 0
Patro Eisden
15 Jul
Heist
0 : 1
KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 7

Chatelet

(Away)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)