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Heist vs Kortrijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
3 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ambrose T.
61' Event
Mokam J.
74' Event
Podgoreanu S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Heist
15%
Draws
26%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Heist have won more games recently than Kortrijk.
  • Heist are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Heist have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Heist, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heist Clean Sheet 20%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist Kortrijk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.72 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Belgian Cup
Heist vs Kortrijk
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heist Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokam J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Epolo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kortrijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrose T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podgoreanu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 85 / 100
Kortrijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heist found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Kortrijk has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Heist went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS Kortrijk
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heist

(Home)
03 Oct
Heist
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
30 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 1
Heist
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
Page 1 of 6

Kortrijk

(Away)
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -