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Heist vs KRC Harelbeke

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Degryse D.
64' Event
Mokam P. G.
82' Event
Reuten Y.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Heist and KRC Harelbeke finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Heist
20%
Draws
10%
KRC Harelbeke
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heist come out ahead of KRC Harelbeke on wins alone.
  • Heist are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heist Clean Sheet 19%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist KRC Harelbeke
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Heist vs KRC Harelbeke
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heist Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokam P. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reuten Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Degryse D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 42 / 100
KRC Harelbeke 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist KRC Harelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heist scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

KRC Harelbeke has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Heist has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS KRC Harelbeke
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heist

(Home)
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
Knokke
3 : 0
Heist
01 Aug
Lierse SK
1 : 2
Heist
Page 1 of 6

KRC Harelbeke

(Away)
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 3
Mandel United
08 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 1
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 4 4 0 0 15:4 12
2 Merelbeke 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Leuven B 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
4 SK Roeselare 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Mandel United 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Dessel 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
7 Knokke 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
8 K. Lyra-Lierse 4 1 3 0 11:10 6
9 Thes Sport 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
10 Tienen 4 1 1 2 9:7 4
11 Belisia Bilzen 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Heist 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Hoogstraten 4 0 2 2 8:10 2
15 Zelzate 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
16 KRC Harelbeke 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
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