Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helios vs Narva Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Narva in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-9. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Helios
20%
Draws
20%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Helios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Narva have won more games recently than Helios.
  • Narva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Narva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Narva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Helios Clean Sheet 16%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helios Narva
Matches Played 14 38
Wins 3 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.29 2.45
Goals Conceded 5.64 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2022 Estonian Cup
Helios vs Narva
0:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helios 10 / 100
Narva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helios Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Helios scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Defensive concern: Narva conceded in 66% of 38 recent games.

Narva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Helios

(Home)
26 Jul
Helios
0 : 9
Narva
03 Jul
Helios
:
JK 32. keskkool
01 Sept
Helios
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
28 Jul
FCI Tallinn
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2