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Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helmond Sport host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Helmond Sport at 1.23 goals for, 1.94 against; Dordrecht at 1.35 for, 2.16 against. Past meetings favor Dordrecht slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.06 - 2.06) back Dordrecht to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Helmond Sport
15%
Draws
49%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Helmond Sport haven't matched Dordrecht's recent run of results.
  • Helmond Sport are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dordrecht here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport Dordrecht
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport
3:0
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport
4:0
Jan 12, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 34 / 100
Dordrecht 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Helmond Sport found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Dordrecht registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS Dordrecht
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

(Home)
06 Nov
Helmond Sport
2 : 3
FC Volendam
30 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 2
Eindhoven FC
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4
Willem II
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4
Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
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Dordrecht

(Away)
06 Nov
Dordrecht
0 : 0
NAC Breda
02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2
Dordrecht
28 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 2
Dordrecht
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)