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Helmond Sport vs Eindhoven FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helmond Sport host Eindhoven FC in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Helmond Sport have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Eindhoven FC's 1.25 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Helmond Sport slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.69) back Eindhoven FC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Helmond Sport
20%
Draws
64%
Eindhoven FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Eindhoven FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Helmond Sport taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 13%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport Eindhoven FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.96 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Helmond Sport
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Eindhoven FC
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Helmond Sport
2:2
Nov 22, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Eindhoven FC
3:4
May 3, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Eindhoven FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 40 / 100
Eindhoven FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport Eindhoven FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helmond Sport found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Eindhoven FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Eindhoven FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS Eindhoven FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

(Home)
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

Eindhoven FC

(Away)
16 Oct
Eindhoven FC
0 : 1
Vitesse
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Roda 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 11 3 4 4 15:18 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
16 Jong Ajax 11 3 2 6 15:26 11
17 De Graafschap 11 3 2 6 14:25 11
18 Dordrecht 11 3 2 6 14:27 11
19 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
20 Jong Utrecht 11 2 1 8 17:25 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)