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Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helmond Sport host FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Volendam have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Helmond Sport have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Helmond Sport have won 0 to FC Volendam's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 2.44) point toward FC Volendam. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Helmond Sport
15%
Draws
59%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Volendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Volendam have won more games recently than Helmond Sport.
  • Win probability leans FC Volendam's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Volendam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport FC Volendam
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport
3:1
Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam
2:3
Feb 25, 2022 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport
4:1
Dec 3, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam
1:1
Apr 9, 2021 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Helmond Sport
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 14 / 100
FC Volendam 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Volendam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Volendam let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Helmond Sport found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Helmond Sport stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS FC Volendam
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

(Home)
30 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 2
Eindhoven FC
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4
Willem II
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4
Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 7

FC Volendam

(Away)
30 Oct
FC Volendam
1 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Oct
Eindhoven FC
5 : 3
FC Volendam
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2
Jong Utrecht
18 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1
FC Volendam
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 12 9 2 1 37:14 29
2 Venlo 12 8 1 3 34:20 25
3 FC Emmen 12 8 1 3 26:19 25
4 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
5 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
6 NAC Breda 12 6 3 3 23:20 21
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Vitesse 12 5 2 5 16:17 17
9 Maastricht 12 5 2 5 16:27 17
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Jong PSV 12 4 4 4 17:19 16
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Den Bosch 12 4 3 5 18:21 15
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 12 4 1 7 19:20 13
16 Jong Ajax 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Dordrecht 12 3 2 7 16:31 11
19 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
20 Jong Utrecht 12 2 1 9 19:31 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)