Sport Picks
Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond 
Match Events
10'
10'
Cicero L.
Assist: Ingason H.
27'
27'
Penso K.
Assist: Mulders B.
46'
46'
Sub
Merien F. In: Monamay M.
Out: Merien F.
AI Match Summary
Helmond Sport in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Helmond Sport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Helmond Sport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong PSV have won more games recently than Helmond Sport.
- Win probability leans Helmond Sport's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 12%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Helmond Sport | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV
3:1
Jan 26, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Helmond Sport
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV
2:3
Mar 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV
1:1
Sep 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Helmond Sport
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Helmond Sport Compare
Top Goalscorer Cicero L.
1 Goals Assists Leader van der Sluijs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Penso K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Helmond Sport 38 / 100
Jong PSV 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Helmond Sport Jong PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Jong PSV conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Helmond Sport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Helmond Sport VS Jong PSV
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Helmond Sport
(Home) 02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
21 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 Waalwijk
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 4
Jong PSV
(Away) 19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1 Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong PSV
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
28 Aug
Waalwijk
2 : 2 Jong PSV
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1 Jong PSV
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
