Sport Picks

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Helmond Sport vs Veendam

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Fri, May 3, 2013
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helmond Sport play Veendam in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Helmond Sport averaged 1 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Veendam averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Helmond Sport won 2, Veendam won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2013 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Helmond Sport and 1.50 for Veendam. This points to a Veendam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Helmond Sport
28%
Draws
46%
Veendam
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Veendam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Helmond Sport picked up more points recently compared to Veendam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 16%
Veendam Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport Veendam
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Veendam
0:0
Dec 14, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Veendam vs Helmond Sport
3:1
Apr 20, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Veendam vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Nov 4, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Veendam
3:2
May 22, 2011 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Veendam
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 27 / 100
Veendam 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport Veendam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Veendam or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Helmond Sport attacking → ← attacking Veendam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helmond Sport scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Veendam let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Helmond Sport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Veendam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cambuur30194759:3361
2FC Volendam30193870:4360
3Sparta Rotterdam30167759:3655
4Helmond Sport301510555:4555
5Maastricht30148856:4450
6G.A. Eagles30139860:4648
7Sittard301371039:3346
8De Graafschap30129957:4145
9Dordrecht301171256:5640
10TOP Oss301071340:5737
11Den Bosch301051538:4935
12FC Emmen30881438:5232
13Almere City301011941:6731
14Telstar30781531:4629
15Excelsior30491739:6321
16Eindhoven FC30561940:6721
17Apeldoorn00000:00
18Veendam00000:00