Sport Picks
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond 
Match Events
18'
18'
Lenaerts M.
Assist: Ingason H.
19'
19'
Ludwig M.
46'
46'
Sub
Varela K. In: van der Veen Y.
Out: Varela K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waalwijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Waalwijk lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Waalwijk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Helmond Sport | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk
2:2
Aug 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Mar 22, 2019 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport
2:1
Nov 17, 2018 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Helmond Sport Compare
Top Goalscorer Lenaerts M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Waalwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Veen Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Helmond Sport 26 / 100
Waalwijk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Helmond Sport Waalwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waalwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waalwijk let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Helmond Sport stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Helmond Sport VS Waalwijk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Helmond Sport
(Home) 09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
21 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 Waalwijk
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
Waalwijk
(Away) 09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
03 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FC Emmen
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0 Waalwijk
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
21 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 Waalwijk
07 Aug
Vitesse
1 : 1 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
