Sport Picks

Helmond Sport vs Willem II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

KNVB Beker MySteel Stadion, Helmond

Willem II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Helmond Sport at 1.03 goals for, 1.62 against; Willem II at 1.83 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Willem II slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 21, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Willem II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Helmond Sport

30%

Draws

23%

Willem II

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Helmond Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Willem II lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
47% — that's where the model lands on Helmond Sport taking it.
Willem II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Willem II, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 19%

Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Helmond Sport	Willem II
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	15
Draws	8	5
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	1.03	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport vs Willem II

2:2

Sep 30, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Willem II vs Helmond Sport

1:0

Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly

Willem II vs Helmond Sport

0:0

Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport vs Willem II

0:2

Dec 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie

Willem II vs Helmond Sport

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 67 / 100

Willem II 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Helmond Sport Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Willem II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Willem II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS Willem II

1.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

(Home)

09 Oct

TOP Oss

3 : 1

Helmond Sport

02 Oct

Helmond Sport

2 : 2

Heracles

26 Sept

Maastricht

2 : 0

Helmond Sport

18 Sept

Den Bosch

2 : 1

Helmond Sport

11 Sept

Helmond Sport

3 : 1

Jong PSV

Page 1 of 6

Willem II

(Away)

19 Sept

Willem II

0 : 1

Sittard

15 Sept

Ajax

5 : 1

Willem II

11 Sept

AZ Alkmaar

1 : 1

Willem II

05 Sept

Willem II

0 : 3

Excelsior

30 Aug

Willem II

2 : 2

Heerenveen

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

ACV Assen 6

Westlandia 1

VV Hoogeveen 3

SVZW Wierden 2

Groene Ster 2

VV Heerjansdam 1

Be Quick 1887 0

AFC 2

Hardenberg -

TBD -

Barendrecht -

TBD -

Harkemase Boys 0

Excelsior 31 1

Alkmaarse FC 1934 4

VV Scherpenzeel 1

TBD -

Sportlust 3

Blauw Geel 1

ADO 20 Heemskerk 1

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

ATC 65 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

GOES 0

VV Noordwijk 1

HZVV Hoogeveen 0

Frisia 4

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 2

Venray 0

Rkvv Spartaan 20 0

RKSV UDI 19 5

Dongen 2

Watergraafsmeer 4

TEC 4

Almkerk 2

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Longa '30 0

Koninklijke HFC 4

Surhusterfean 1

VV DOVO 2

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Mierlo-Hout 2

Germania Groesbeek 3

TBD -

Kozakken Boys -

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Elinkwijk 0

Eemdijk 3

GSV 28 0

Roosendaal 4

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Spakenburg -

TOGB 3

Katwijk 2

TBD -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 3

UNA 2

Genemuiden 2

Lisse 1

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

Lierop 0

VV Zwaluwen 7

Purmersteijn 4

RKVV Zwaluw 3

IJsselmeervogels -

TBD -

FC 's-Gravenzande 0

Gemert 2

NSVV 2

VV Kloetinge 4

Achilles Veen 4

SV Poortugaal 2

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 5

VV Bennekom 0

VVSB 2

Ajax (Am) 0

USV Hercules 1

EVV 3

HVV Hollandia 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

TBD -

1/64-finals

ACV Assen 2

VV Hoogeveen 1

Groene Ster 1

AFC 6

Hardenberg 0

Barendrecht 1

TBD -

Excelsior 31 4

Alkmaarse FC 1934 3

TBD -

Sportlust 0

Excelsior Maassluis 2

TBD -

GVVV 4

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

VV Noordwijk 1

Frisia 0

TBD -

Sparta Nijkerk 3

RKSV UDI 19 1

Watergraafsmeer 5

TEC 4

TBD -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC 3

VV DOVO 1

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

Germania Groesbeek 1

Kozakken Boys 5

TBD -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

TBD -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

Eemdijk 2

Roosendaal 1

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam 3

Spakenburg 2

TOGB 4

Rohda Raalte 6

Roda -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Staphorst 2

Genemuiden 3

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Sittard -

Telstar -

TBD -

Almere City -

VV Zwaluwen 0

Purmersteijn 1

IJsselmeervogels 0

Gemert 3

VV Kloetinge 8

Achilles Veen 0

TBD -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

TBD -

Vitesse -

Rijnvogels 0

VVSB 1

EVV 3

RKSV Halsteren 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

ACV Assen -

AFC -

Barendrecht -

Waalwijk -

De Treffers -

Heracles -

Excelsior 31 -

Den Haag -

Excelsior Maassluis -

Heerenveen -

Eindhoven FC -

FC Volendam -

Groningen -

FC Emmen -

GVVV -

VV Noordwijk -

Helmond Sport -

Willem II -

HSV Hoek -

Sparta Nijkerk -

Watergraafsmeer -

NAC Breda -

Koninklijke HFC -

G.A. Eagles -

Kozakken Boys -

Utrecht -

Maastricht -

Excelsior -

Zwolle -

TOP Oss -

Quick Boys -

Eemdijk -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

Den Bosch -

RKAV Volendam -

Rohda Raalte -

Roda -

De Graafschap -

Genemuiden -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

Sittard -

Telstar -

Almere City -

Purmersteijn -

Gemert -

VV Kloetinge -

Cambuur -

Venlo -

Vitesse -

VVSB -

EVV -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Helmond Sport vs Willem II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

Helmond Sport

Willem II

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

Willem II

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA